Election 2014: Büyükşehir predictions

Incumbent

AK Party

CHP

MHP

BDP

James in Turkey uses voting patterns and polling data to predict outcomes for the thirty Büyükşehir mayoral contests on 30 March.

Predictions will be updated regularly throughout March 2014.

Click here for the latest stories and a map of each party’s target provinces.

 

Lost councils (3)
Where we predict the incumbent party will lose

Mardin

Ordu

Manisa

Too close to call (10)
Where we’re not confident making a prediction yet

Istanbul

Ankara

Hatay

Şanlıurfa

Trabzon

Antalya

Mersin

Tekirdağ

Adana

Balıkesir

Semi-safe councils (6)
Where we predict an ultimately unsuccessful challenge from an opposition party

Samsun

Izmir

Aydın

Eskişehir

Muğla

Van

Safe councils (11)
Where we predict the incumbent will hold the council

Bursa

Denizli

Erzurum

Gaziantep

Kahr’maraş

Kayseri

Kocaeli

Konya

Malatya

Sakarya

Diyarbakır

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