This page is no longer being updated
But never fear! The James in Turkey rolling average of voting intention polls has risen again for the 1 November 2015 election. To see it, all you have to do is click here.
The James in Turkey rolling average recorded opinion polling ahead of the 7 June general election and charted the change in results.
[one_half]41.1%
27.3%
16.2%
11.2%
Last updated: 4 June 2015
This page tracked Turkish opinion polls and how they have been shifting ahead of the general election.
A word of warning: the James in Turkey rolling average was not a scientific measure of Turkish voter intention. It did not balance between pro- and anti-government pollsters and it did not filter pollsters by reliability or data gathering methods.
What it did do was maintain a rolling average of the last five polls published by known Turkish pollsters. It weighed this result down with the previous five polling results, which helped give an idea of the trend in support while protecting the average against extreme outlier results.
Now that the general election is over this page has been retired; the figures above reflect the final projection before the election. To see how it compared with the actual result, see the line chart below.
Past rolling averages
[toggle title=”Click to expand: the polling data this website uses”]Pollster | Date | AK Party | CHP | MHP | HDP | Others |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gezici | Jun 15 | 38.5 | 28.5 | 16.5 | 12.5 | 4 |
ORC | Jun 15 | 46 | 25.3 | 15.5 | 9 | 4.2 |
Konda | Jun 15 | 41 | 27.8 | 14.8 | 12.6 | 3.8 |
Metropoll | Jun 15 | 41 | 27.2 | 16 | 11.5 | 3.6 |
Gezici | May 15 | 39.1 | 28.7 | 17.1 | 12.5 | 2.5 |
AKAM | May 15 | 38.8 | 27.4 | 17.5 | 12.1 | 4.3 |
Sonar | May 15 | 41 | 26 | 18.1 | 10.4 | 5.5 |
Andy AR | May 15 | 41.9 | 25.8 | 16 | 10.7 | 5.6 |
KONDA | May 15 | 40.5 | 28.7 | 14.4 | 11.5 | 4.9 |
AKAM | May 15 | 38.9 | 28.1 | 17.6 | 11.8 | 3.7 |
Gezici | May 15 | 38.2 | 30.1 | 17.1 | 10.5 | 4.1 |
ORC | May 15 | 47.5 | 23.9 | 15 | 8.1 | 5.5 |
SONAR | Apr 15 | 43 | 26.1 | 17.2 | 9.6 | 4.1 |
Gezici | Apr 15 | 38.1 | 28.5 | 18 | 11 | 4.4 |
Metropoll | Apr 15 | 42.5 | 26.4 | 17.6 | 10.2 | 3.3 |
KONDA | Apr 15 | 42.9 | 26.2 | ? | 12.1 | 1.8 |
MAK | Apr 15 | 45.2 | 24.8 | 15.3 | 9.2 | 5.5 |
AKAM | Apr 15 | 40.7 | 25.5 | 18 | 11.4 | 4.4 |
ORC | Apr 15 | 48.3 | 23.7 | 14.4 | 8.9 | 4.7 |
Gezici | Apr 15 | 39.2 | 28.1 | 16.9 | 11.3 | 4.6 |
Metropoll | Mar 15 | 41.7 | 27.7 | 17.4 | 10.4 | 2.8 |
Gezici | Mar 15 | 39.3 | 29.6 | 17.7 | 11.4 | 2 |
MAK | Mar 15 | 47.7 | 25.3 | 14.2 | 9.2 | 3.6 |
ORC | Mar 15 | 50.3 | 23 | 14.1 | 8.6 | 4 |
SONAR | Mar 15 | 40 | 27.1 | 18 | 10.1 | 4.8 |
ORC | Mar 15 | 50 | 23.2 | 13.5 | 8.4 | 4.9 |
Andy AR | Feb 15 | 45.2 | 25.6 | 16.5 | 9.2 | 3.5 |
GENAR | Feb 15 | 39.1 | 28.7 | 18.1 | 9.5 | 4.6 |
MAK | Feb 15 | 47.6 | 24.8 | 14.3 | 8 | 5.3 |
ORC | Feb 15 | 49.8 | 23 | 13.9 | 8.9 | 4.4 |
Gezici | Feb 15 | 35.2 | 29.1 | 20.5 | 9.5 | 5.7 |
Gezici | Jan 15 | 39.8 | 29.6 | 17.3 | 7.3 | 6 |
KONDA | Jan 15 | 45.4 | 23.3 | 15.1 | 10.6 | 5.6 |
ORC | Jan 15 | 48.6 | 23.3 | 13.5 | 8.2 | 6.4 |
GENAR | Dec 14 | 48.2 | 25 | 14.1 | 9 | 3.7 |
ORC | Dec 14 | 49.4 | 23 | 13.1 | 7.9 | 6.6 |
ORC | Nov 14 | 48.5 | 23.1 | 13.7 | 8 | 6.7 |
SONAR | Nov 14 | 37.7 | 27.01 | 17.13 | 6.69 | 11.47 |
Gezici | Oct 14 | 41.4 | 27.4 | 19.7 | 8.1 | 3.4 |
ORC | Oct 14 | 47.3 | 24.6 | 13.5 | 8.3 | 6.3 |
ORC | Sep 14 | 47.4 | 24.3 | 15 | 9.5 | 3.8 |
ORC | Aug 14 | 47.1 | 25 | 14.2 | 10.2 | 3.5 |
ORC | Jun 14 | 49.5 | 25.3 | 15.1 | 6.7 | 3.4 |
SONAR | May 14 | 41.2 | 26.7 | 19.8 | 7.9 | 4.4 |
ORC | Apr 14 | 48 | 26.5 | 14.1 | 6.4 | 5 |
ORC | Feb 14 | 48.4 | 27.5 | 14.5 | 6 | 3.6 |
SONAR | Jan 14 | 42.3 | 29.8 | 18.7 | 5.6 | 3.6 |
MAK | Oct 13 | 52.3 | 23.4 | 12.4 | 6.5 | 5.4 |
Gezici | Sep 13 | 42.5 | 27.3 | 18.1 | 9.5 | 2.6 |
Gezici | Aug 13 | 41.2 | 26.4 | 20.2 | 9.7 | 1.1 |
Gezici | Jul 13 | 43.2 | 28.2 | 18.1 | 7.2 | 1.3 |
SONAR | Jul 13 | 44.1 | 28.2 | 16.3 | ||
GENAR | Jun 13 | 50.2 | 27 | 13.2 | 6.5 | 1.9 |
SONAR | Apr 13 | 45.06 | 26.09 | 17.27 | 7.09 | 2.79 |
Konsensus | Mar 13 | 50.7 | 24.2 | 15.3 | 5 | 4.8 |
ORC | Mar 13 | 44.9 | 30.8 | 14.3 | 5.7 | 4.3 |
Gezici | Feb 13 | 43 | 28 | 18.2 | 8.1 | 2.7 |
Gezici | Jan 13 | 45.7 | 27.1 | 17.9 | 6.5 | 2.8 |
GENAR | Dec 12 | 52.4 | 25.6 | 11.7 | 6.9 | 2.3 |
Konsensus | Dec 12 | 50.7 | 27.7 | 12.8 | 6.4 | 2.4 |
Gezici | Nov 12 | 45.9 | 26.1 | 17.1 | 7.9 | 3 |
SONAR | Nov 12 | 47.3 | 25.1 | 15.2 | 7 | 5.3 |
GENAR | Oct 12 | 51.2 | 26.5 | 12.4 | 7.3 | 1.9 |
Konsensus | Sep 12 | 53.7 | 23.8 | 13.1 | 4.6 | 4.8 |
AndyAR | Aug 12 | 46.7 | 19.5 | 16.1 | 8 | 9.7 |
GENAR | Jun 12 | 51.1 | 24.5 | 12.4 | 6.6 | 5.4 |
Konsensus | Jun 12 | 51.6 | 26.8 | 12.7 | 5 | 3.9 |
SONAR | Jun 12 | 50.42 | 19.01 | 17.2 | 6.05 | 2.65 |
Pollmark | May 12 | 52.4 | 24.5 | 11.4 | 7.4 | 4.3 |
GENAR | Apr 12 | 51.3 | 25.7 | 13.2 | 5.1 | 4.7 |
MetroPOLL | Apr 12 | 53.5 | 25.1 | 13 | 5.7 | 2.7 |
Konsensus | Mar 12 | 51.7 | 27.7 | 13.3 | 5.6 | 1.7 |
Sonar | Feb 12 | 53.2 | 19.8 | 16 | ||
GENAR | Jan 12 | 51.6 | 26.7 | 14.3 | 4.4 | 3 |
Konsensus | Dec 11 | 50.2 | 27.1 | 12 | 5.8 | 4.9 |
GENAR | Nov 11 | 51.1 | 26.3 | 11.8 | 6.7 | 2.9 |
Konsensus | Sep 11 | 52.1 | 25.4 | 12 | 6.1 | 4.4 |
GENAR | Aug 11 | 51.4 | 25.2 | 12.1 | 6.2 | 5.1 |