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Follow these links to read about the post-election coalition talks and full coverage of the repeat elections scheduled for 1 November 2015.
Recent trend
Vote share in long-term decline. Plurality of votes almost certain. Seat loss very likely.
Vote share rising slightly. Very likely to be main opposition. Seat gain likely.
Vote share rising in May after brief hiccup. Very likely to be third party. Seat gain very likely.
Steady rise in vote share. Likely to cross 10 per cent threshold.
Forecast last updated: 3 June 2015
Latest election coverage
Who shall speak unto nation?
The 2015 election ends and the Great Coalition Scramble begins by voting for the new …
Abdullah Gül: will he? Won’t he?
A political memoir causes a buzz in Ankara and offers …
Davutoğlu’s moment
The prime minister should use this election result to wrest …
What on earth is Devlet Bahçeli thinking?
The nationalists hold the key to Turkey’s first coalition government …
LIVE: Turkey votes 2015
Live coverage of the voting, results, trends and reaction to …
Turkey’s coalition options
If the pro-Kurdish HDP crosses the 10% electoral threshold tomorrow, …
Violence in Diyarbakır
Two explosions strike the largest Kurdish party in the largest …
The cost of food
One factor that will affect Turkish voting intention this weekend …
That ORC poll – and whether it means anything
A government-friendly pollster has flouted Turkey's ban on opinion polls …
Turkey’s dancing, smiling, singing TV election
This campaign has some of the most inspiring - and …
JamesinTurkey.com provides analysis of Turkish political developments and coverage of elections in the country to English-speaking audiences interested in better understanding the country. The website is written and maintained by freelance journalist
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