General election November 2015

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Follow these links to read about the post-election coalition talks and the first general election that preceded them in June 2015.

Final polling projection

42.2%

June result: 40.9%

27.2%

June result: 25%

14.6%

June result: 16.3%

12.8%

June result: 13.1%

Vote share rising slightly. Most votes and seats a near certainty, but parliamentary majority too close to call.

Vote share dropping. Third position likely in vote share, but not certain in terms of parliamentary seats. 

Increasing vote share, but unlikely to exceed 30 percent. Almost certain to be second largest party.

Vote share holding steadyLikely to cross 10 per cent threshold and could possibly win more seats than MHP.

Forecast last updated: 30 October 2015 | How is this calculated?

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